Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 90902.810085 95869.791960 100833.318425 106162.173540 111717.852627 117335.782414 123442.574754
2025-06-29 82193.419144 89757.445764 97525.965989 106090.411292 115256.782569 124762.575738 135354.893157
2025-07-06 75971.493737 85293.748090 95077.489948 106089.690211 118117.555253 130833.951744 145272.637836
2025-07-13 72337.005517 83098.652295 94596.327646 107758.887835 122373.840621 138066.981665 156154.559664
2025-07-20 69283.193106 81208.235315 94148.875076 109182.604381 126113.133209 144535.312734 166040.230957
2025-07-27 66345.543826 79201.932759 93351.639132 110008.981529 129007.126421 149924.379544 174618.364582
2025-08-03 63350.752467 76932.067626 92077.511394 110126.862398 130954.101774 154134.222258 181781.799335
2025-08-10 60850.518685 75082.093700 91147.507800 110510.883477 133094.797163 158479.176047 189039.484695
2025-08-17 58425.425871 73191.645832 90054.838651 110597.987599 134800.168016 162255.702677 195597.951124
2025-08-24 56858.868992 72230.590035 89972.931016 111798.957205 137748.816151 167433.972711 203767.542273
2025-08-31 54692.035148 70452.592541 88837.235283 111672.994817 139069.430158 170667.690201 209640.654943
2025-09-07 53567.791172 69881.361853 89094.030008 113166.805078 142281.888056 176109.508488 218118.058732
2025-09-14 52133.060658 68893.837674 88826.793655 114023.790916 144749.095161 180712.493106 225680.990877
2025-09-21 50405.818526 67482.373785 87990.726498 114145.030816 146298.596478 184210.714000 231938.677359
2025-09-28 48748.715550 66097.321482 87132.120972 114188.636557 147714.332625 187524.462260 237969.461022
2025-10-05 48042.054184 65881.712828 87696.574664 115970.701949 151250.025013 193404.146515 247126.161458
2025-10-12 47256.529916 65530.051847 88062.417453 117484.234377 154445.347707 198876.641834 255815.542390
2025-10-19 46224.101321 64820.468159 87943.529692 118361.845172 156834.014300 203360.407458 263312.882598
2025-10-26 44906.951607 63695.808166 87257.588596 118487.071552 158255.521029 206641.091851 269334.140813
2025-11-02 43782.436609 62787.499681 86816.036300 118894.658681 160011.541772 210326.595142 275862.354867
2025-11-09 42577.033430 61733.946179 86152.814428 118987.105873 161345.319743 213475.210334 281726.690665
2025-11-16 41930.004975 61405.689969 86414.982738 120261.582813 164180.407447 218507.803875 289966.501950
2025-11-23 40729.329771 60293.429181 85616.978044 120127.918233 165188.437076 221233.023271 295314.935168